The Real Cost of Global Warming

Once again everyone jumped to conclusions when President Bush proposed some goals for greenhouse gases on April 23. What he called for was much wiser than the hysterical crap the gloworms are proposing. In short, he calls for stopping The Growth of greenhouse gases by 2025, while the Dems want an 80% Reduction by 2050. Even John McCain wants 65% by 2050. Do you have any idea of the damage to our economy and way of life that would cause? It would be worse than signing the Kyoto Treaty. Damn, I hope people wake up to this soon.

We all ought to reflect on what an 80% reduction of greenhouse gas emissions by the year 2050 really means. When we do, it becomes clear that the president’s target has one overwhelming virtue: Assuming emissions curbs are even necessary, his goal is at least realistic.

The same cannot be said for the carbon emissions targets espoused by the three presidential candidates and environmentalists. Indeed, these targets would send us back to emissions levels last witnessed when the cotton gin was in daily use.

Begin with the current inventory of carbon dioxide emissions – CO2 being the principal greenhouse gas generated almost entirely by energy use. According to the Department of Energy’s most recent data on greenhouse gas emissions, in 2006 the U.S. emitted 5.8 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide, or just under 20 tons per capita. An 80% reduction in these emissions from 1990 levels means that the U.S. cannot emit more than about one billion metric tons of CO2 in 2050.

Were man-made carbon dioxide emissions in this country ever that low? The answer is probably yes – from historical energy data it is possible to estimate that the U.S. last emitted one billion metric tons around 1910. But in 1910, the U.S. had 92 million people, and per capita income, in current dollars, was about $6,000.

By the year 2050, the Census Bureau projects that our population will be around 420 million. This means per capita emissions will have to fall to about 2.5 tons in order to meet the goal of 80% reduction.

And as you know if you’ve been here before, C02 is not a pollutant!

And consider this. Do you really want to go back to living in caves?

Today, the average residence in the U.S. uses about 10,500 kilowatt hours of electricity and emits 11.4 tons of CO2 per year (much more if you are Al Gore or John Edwards and live in a mansion). To stay within the magic number, average household emissions will have to fall to no more than 1.5 tons per year. In our current electricity infrastructure, this would mean using no more than about 2,500 KwH per year. This is not enough juice to run the average hot water heater.

You can forget refrigerators, microwaves, clothes dryers and flat screen TVs. Even a house tricked out with all the latest high-efficiency EnergyStar appliances and compact fluorescent lights won’t come close. The same daunting energy math applies to the industrial, commercial and transportation sectors as well. The clear implication is that we shall have to replace virtually the entire fossil fuel electricity infrastructure over the next four decades with CO2-free sources – a multitrillion dollar proposition, if it can be done at all.

The Kool-Aid drinkers are more of a threat than you may know. First of all, the economy will be ruined. And maybe even more important, by removing C02 from the environment, they may be helping us into the next Ice Age.

Read The Rest.


3 Responses

  1. The Pacific Decadal Oscillation will likely quench their global warming ardor.

  2. Yup. What’s that old saying? If you don’t like the weather, just stick around a while….If more people would think about how their 70+or- years on this earth, stack up against the billions of years mother nature has been on the job, they might get a clue to just how worthless all this warming crap is.

  3. […] 05 May 2008 – The Real Cost of Global Warming […]

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